The AI market is facing a correction after a year of exuberance.
casey newton with the centrist aggregation take on the AI bubble including this absolutely drab, meaningless "both sides." Throwing tomatoes at my screenhttps://t.co/ZDUIOJ8ose pic.twitter.com/YBnOtFYM5K
— Ed Zitron (@edzitron) August 9, 2024
Major players like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google are seeing a reassessment of their market values as the promised post-human revolution was always an overreach. The excitement around early language models (LLMs) was not grounded in sustained market success.
The next phase for AI appears to align with the Gartner hype cycle.
New with @EricNewcomer: Investors are over foundation model startups, but finding the next killer app is easier said than done. Plus, I dig into the supply-chain funding drought and Google's antitrust woeshttps://t.co/7Z3tibXIYr
— Madeline Renbarger (@maddierenbarger) August 9, 2024
After the initial crash, industries typically enter the “slope of enlightenment” where the technology matures and real benefits become clear. Successful products reach the “plateau of productivity,” driven by their broad market appeal.
Gartner cautions, however, that not every technology survives this crash; fast market fit is crucial.
"#AI is not proving to be a profitable endeavor for, uh, anyone. Companies are pouring entire quarters’ worth of earnings into these machines that burn dollars and coal in equal measure, and Wall Street is taking notice." ~ @pluginhybradhttps://t.co/avJY4TeFQv#GenerativeAI
— Bob E. Hayes (@bobehayes) August 11, 2024
Apple and Google are leading the charge by repackaging AI into user-friendly applications like photo editing, text editing, and advanced search functionalities. Though the quality varies, some companies are finding ways to monetize generative AI effectively.
Generative AI, despite its potential, faces adoption challenges at the enterprise level, particularly in cybersecurity. One major issue is its non-deterministic nature, which produces varying outputs due to its probabilistic models. This unpredictability can deter industry veterans accustomed to deterministic software.
Several artificial intelligence stocks that helped drive a stock rally over the past 20 months have been impacted by the broader market’s recent shift from high growth potential to safer options amid concerns about a looming economic slowdown. https://t.co/4aMXThXmPQ pic.twitter.com/Ebi2am4CXU
— Jennifer Stirrup #MBA Topics: #AI #Data #Strategy (@jenstirrup) August 10, 2024
Rather than replacing existing tools, generative AI acts as an enhancement, potentially serving as a complex layer in cybersecurity defenses. Cost is another hurdle. The high expense of running these models is often passed on to consumers, prompting efforts to reduce per-query costs through hardware advancements and model refinements.
Cheaper, more accurate models might make AI profitable, but integrating them into organizational workflows remains a substantial challenge.
Ai market faces correction challenges
Moreover, acceptance and collaboration between human workers and AI is still a developing area.
A study by Harvard Medical School indicated that AI assistance in clinical practices showed mixed results; some radiologists improved with AI, while others did not. This suggests that AI tools must be introduced with a personalized and carefully calibrated approach. For cybersecurity specialists, AI-assisted code generation is a valuable prototyping tool.
However, the technology should speed up the work of seasoned professionals while posing risks for less experienced users, as poorly generated code could compromise security. AI also shows promise in customer support, particularly for level 1 queries. Modern chatbots can handle simple questions and streamline more complex issues to higher support levels.
Although not ideal for customer experience, this approach offers significant cost savings for large organizations. Consultancies like Boston Consulting Group and McKinsey are heavily investing in AI, expecting significant proportions of their revenues to come from AI-related projects. Use cases include language translation for ads, enhanced procurement searches, and improved customer service chatbots.
The introduction of new AI tools brings cybersecurity challenges, such as the need for machine identities with privileged access to corporate systems. Proper governance will be crucial in managing these tools’ access and ensuring they don’t become security liabilities. At the same time, there is a risk of making sensitive areas vulnerable due to the immature nature of current LLM technology.
AI offers promising advancements in IAM, including enhanced role mining, entitlement recommendations, peer group analysis, decision recommendations, and behavior-driven governance. These innovations are now expected by customers in modern IAM solutions. As AI technology continues to evolve, its integration into various facets of business and cybersecurity remains a complex yet promising frontier.